{"id":11358,"date":"2026-04-09T16:24:24","date_gmt":"2026-04-09T20:24:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thelibreinstitute.org\/blog\/2026\/04\/los-rumores-sobre-la-reduccion-del-deficit-federal-fueron-muy-exagerados\/"},"modified":"2026-04-09T16:24:24","modified_gmt":"2026-04-09T20:24:24","slug":"los-rumores-sobre-la-reduccion-del-deficit-federal-fueron-muy-exagerados","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thelibreinstitute.org\/es\/blog\/2026\/04\/los-rumores-sobre-la-reduccion-del-deficit-federal-fueron-muy-exagerados\/","title":{"rendered":"Los rumores sobre la reducci\u00f3n del d\u00e9ficit federal fueron muy exagerados"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>La semana pasada, la Oficina de Presupuesto del Congreso (CBO, por sus siglas en ingl\u00e9s), de car\u00e1cter no partidista, public\u00f3 la <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbo.gov\/publication\/51129\">\u00faltima estimaci\u00f3n<\/a> sobre el d\u00e9ficit del presupuesto federal, que muestra que el d\u00e9ficit volver\u00e1 a aumentar en 2016 a pesar de su tendencia a la baja de varios a\u00f1os iniciada en 2009. Gran parte de este d\u00e9ficit se debe a cambios legislativos, principalmente a las pr\u00f3rrogas fiscales no financiadas de diciembre y a la legislaci\u00f3n \u00f3mnibus&#8230; El crecimiento del d\u00e9ficit federal y la consiguiente expansi\u00f3n de nuestra deuda nacional son especialmente preocupantes para los hispanos, que son m\u00e1s j\u00f3venes que el resto de la poblaci\u00f3n y cargar\u00e1n con el coste de esta mala gesti\u00f3n. Las generaciones m\u00e1s j\u00f3venes experimentar\u00e1n una erosi\u00f3n del Sue\u00f1o Americano causada por d\u00e9cadas de pol\u00edticas fiscales irresponsables.   <\/p>\n<p>Se espera que el d\u00e9ficit del presupuesto federal de este a\u00f1o se dispare hasta los 544.000 millones de d\u00f3lares, 105.000 millones m\u00e1s que el a\u00f1o pasado. El informe de la CBO revela que los d\u00e9ficits anuales proyectados aumentar\u00e1n la deuda total en manos del p\u00fablico hasta el 76 % del PIB para finales de 2016. Esto es aproximadamente 2 puntos porcentuales m\u00e1s que el a\u00f1o pasado. Para poner las cosas en perspectiva, este nivel de deuda es el m\u00e1s alto desde los a\u00f1os inmediatamente posteriores a la Segunda Guerra Mundial.   <\/p>\n<p>Como destaca la CBO en su \u00faltimo informe, el aumento de la deuda nacional tendr\u00e1 graves consecuencias, entre ellas:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Cuando los tipos de inter\u00e9s vuelvan a niveles m\u00e1s t\u00edpicos y elevados, el gasto federal en el pago de intereses aumentar\u00e1 sustancialmente.<\/li>\n<li>Debido a que el endeudamiento federal reduce el ahorro nacional con el tiempo, el stock de capital de la naci\u00f3n acabar\u00eda siendo menor, y la productividad y los salarios totales ser\u00edan m\u00e1s bajos de lo que ser\u00edan si la deuda fuera menor.<\/li>\n<li>Los legisladores tendr\u00edan menos flexibilidad de la habitual para utilizar las pol\u00edticas de impuestos y gasto para responder a retos inesperados.<\/li>\n<li>Aumentar\u00eda la probabilidad de una crisis fiscal en los Estados Unidos. En concreto, aumentar\u00eda el riesgo de que los inversores no estuvieran dispuestos a financiar el endeudamiento del gobierno a menos que se les compensara con tipos de inter\u00e9s muy altos. Si eso ocurriera, los tipos de inter\u00e9s de la deuda federal subir\u00edan de forma repentina y brusca en relaci\u00f3n con las tasas de rendimiento de otros activos.  <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>El informe de la CBO sorprendi\u00f3 a muchos expertos de Washington, en parte porque varios <a href=\"http:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/stancollender\/2016\/01\/19\/get-over-it-there-is-no-more-federal-deficit\/#5a9647cb7e49\">medios de comunicaci\u00f3n<\/a> se refirieron recientemente al d\u00e9ficit federal como un problema inexistente, dado que el d\u00e9ficit hab\u00eda estado bajando durante varios a\u00f1os. Y la disciplina fiscal impuesta por los <a href=\"http:\/\/mercatus.org\/publication\/budget-caps-are-healthy-brake-federal-spending\">topes presupuestarios de la Ley de Control Presupuestario de 2011<\/a> contribuy\u00f3 a una disminuci\u00f3n del d\u00e9ficit en los \u00faltimos a\u00f1os. Pero, como suele ocurrir en Washington, los problemas se olvidan f\u00e1cilmente en lugar de resolverse, y el d\u00e9ficit federal no es una excepci\u00f3n.  <\/p>\n<p>Es injusto que el Congreso siga pasando la pelota cuando se trata de equilibrar el presupuesto federal. Si no se aborda a tiempo, los peligros de nuestra insostenible trayectoria fiscal recaer\u00e1n sobre los hombros de las futuras generaciones de hispanos. Washington no puede dudar en atajar este problema. Cuanto m\u00e1s espere el Congreso, mayor ser\u00e1 el precio que los hispanos pagar\u00e1n por nuestra actual irresponsabilidad fiscal.   <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La semana pasada, la Oficina de Presupuesto del Congreso (CBO), de car\u00e1cter no partidista, public\u00f3 la \u00faltima estimaci\u00f3n sobre el d\u00e9ficit del presupuesto federal, que muestra que el d\u00e9ficit volver\u00e1 a aumentar en 2016 a pesar de su tendencia a la baja de varios a\u00f1os iniciada en 2009. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":11359,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[693],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11358","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-prosperidad-economica"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Los rumores sobre la reducci\u00f3n del d\u00e9ficit federal fueron muy exagerados - 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