{"id":11286,"date":"2026-04-09T16:01:29","date_gmt":"2026-04-09T20:01:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thelibreinstitute.org\/blog\/2026\/04\/hispanos-y-las-urnas-como-los-latinos-influyeron-en-las-elecciones-de-2014\/"},"modified":"2026-04-09T16:01:29","modified_gmt":"2026-04-09T20:01:29","slug":"hispanos-y-las-urnas-como-los-latinos-influyeron-en-las-elecciones-de-2014","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thelibreinstitute.org\/es\/blog\/2026\/04\/hispanos-y-las-urnas-como-los-latinos-influyeron-en-las-elecciones-de-2014\/","title":{"rendered":"Hispanos y las urnas: c\u00f3mo los latinos influyeron en las elecciones de 2014"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>La poblaci\u00f3n hispana de EE. UU. est\u00e1 en aumento y su impacto en la pol\u00edtica estadounidense est\u00e1 creciendo. M\u00e1s all\u00e1 de los estados tradicionales de Arizona, California, Florida, Nuevo M\u00e9xico y Texas, el electorado hispano est\u00e1 preparado para tener un impacto significativo en las elecciones de otros estados con un fuerte crecimiento de la poblaci\u00f3n hispana, como Carolina del Norte, Colorado, Illinois y Alaska. Aunque la participaci\u00f3n electoral de esta comunidad sigue estando por debajo de la media nacional, a medida que esta poblaci\u00f3n joven envejezca, su influencia no har\u00e1 m\u00e1s que aumentar. Aun as\u00ed, su relevancia ya se nota hoy y los candidatos est\u00e1n tomando nota. Ambos partidos est\u00e1n redoblando esfuerzos para acercarse y conectar con este electorado en crecimiento, cuya influencia podr\u00eda ser decisiva este a\u00f1o en varias contiendas e incluso afectar a qu\u00e9 partido toma el control del Senado de EE. UU.<\/p>\n<p>El Proyecto Margen Hispano de la Victoria 2014 (Hispanic MVP) del Instituto LIBRE analiza tendencias de voto pasadas para estimar el n\u00famero de votantes hispanos en 2014 e identifica aquellas contiendas en las que el voto hispano estimado es mayor que el margen de victoria anterior en esa contienda. Reconociendo la menor participaci\u00f3n electoral entre los hispanos, este an\u00e1lisis estima el n\u00famero de votantes hispanos utilizando cifras reales de participaci\u00f3n en elecciones de mitad de mandato desde 1998, en lugar de las cifras actuales de votantes con derecho a voto. Para algunas contiendas, tambi\u00e9n se analiza el margen de victoria previsto a partir de encuestas recientes para determinar si el voto latino podr\u00eda influir en el resultado.<\/p>\n<p>El Hispanic MVP del Instituto LIBRE identifica doce contiendas a la C\u00e1mara de Representantes, tres al Senado y cuatro a gobernaciones en nueve estados donde el voto hispano es lo bastante grande como para influir en el resultado.<\/p>\n<p>Las estimaciones de participaci\u00f3n electoral para 2014 se calculan mediante un modelo de previsi\u00f3n basado en la tasa de participaci\u00f3n de las \u00faltimas cuatro elecciones de mitad de mandato, obtenida de la Oficina del Censo de EE. UU. A continuaci\u00f3n, el n\u00famero previsto de votantes se calcula aplicando la tasa de participaci\u00f3n estimada a las cifras de poblaci\u00f3n m\u00e1s recientes de la Oficina del Censo de EE. UU. para cada \u00e1rea geogr\u00e1fica concreta. Puedes encontrar m\u00e1s detalles en la secci\u00f3n Metodolog\u00eda del informe.<\/p>\n<p>Este informe muestra el impacto potencial del electorado hispano en este ciclo electoral y promueve una mejor comprensi\u00f3n del papel que el electorado hispano puede desempe\u00f1ar al influir en las elecciones de este a\u00f1o y en los a\u00f1os venideros.<\/p>\n<p>Consulta el informe a continuaci\u00f3n o <a href=\"https:\/\/zbc0jq.dm2304.livefilestore.com\/y2mye0TuK3ZYQDXGRPfUAOnsueiwC-FgMrE7iyhl07CwyYQDjV9pDb2UWmE97UDwdK-P5_oZpahuUH8U4wsjcLNtL73gXHjvfi8FixoCnmTJXHacbocEYwnJo9DeVco2jOZ\/2014%20LIBRE%20Institute%20Hispanic%20MVP%20Report%20-%20Posted%20Version.pdf?download&amp;psid=1\">descarga una copia en PDF<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/onedrive.live.com\/embed?cid=9A1426F3EA787DBA&amp;resid=9A1426F3EA787DBA%21116&amp;authkey=AHnN6Hf0qLuDJ9g&amp;em=2\" width=\"100%\" height=\"800\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La poblaci\u00f3n hispana de EE. UU. est\u00e1 en aumento y su impacto en la pol\u00edtica estadounidense est\u00e1 creciendo. M\u00e1s all\u00e1 de los estados tradicionales de Arizona, California, Florida, Nuevo M\u00e9xico y Texas, el electorado hispano est\u00e1 preparado para tener un impacto significativo en las elecciones de otros estados con un fuerte crecimiento de la poblaci\u00f3n hispana, como Carolina del Norte, Colorado, Illinois y Alaska.  <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":18,"featured_media":11287,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[693],"tags":[703],"class_list":["post-11286","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-prosperidad-economica","tag-elecciones"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Hispanos y las urnas: c\u00f3mo los latinos influyeron en las elecciones de 2014 - The LIBRE Institute<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/thelibreinstitute.org\/blog\/2014\/11\/hispanics-and-the-ballot-box-how-latinos-affected-the-2014-election\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Hispanos y las urnas: c\u00f3mo los latinos influyeron en las elecciones de 2014 - The LIBRE Institute\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"La poblaci\u00f3n hispana de EE. 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M\u00e1s all\u00e1 de los estados tradicionales de Arizona, California, Florida, Nuevo M\u00e9xico y Texas, el electorado hispano est\u00e1 preparado para tener un impacto significativo en las elecciones de otros estados con un fuerte crecimiento de la poblaci\u00f3n hispana, como Carolina del Norte, Colorado, Illinois y Alaska.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thelibreinstitute.org\/blog\/2014\/11\/hispanics-and-the-ballot-box-how-latinos-affected-the-2014-election\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The LIBRE Institute\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/TheLIBREInstitute\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-04-09T20:01:29+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/thelibreinstitute.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/vote-aqui.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"513\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"334\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Daniel Garza\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@libreinstitute\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@libreinstitute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thelibreinstitute.org\\\/blog\\\/2014\\\/11\\\/hispanics-and-the-ballot-box-how-latinos-affected-the-2014-election\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thelibreinstitute.org\\\/blog\\\/2014\\\/11\\\/hispanics-and-the-ballot-box-how-latinos-affected-the-2014-election\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Daniel Garza\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thelibreinstitute.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/966c2fa43d86bf1defb3ccc807cb8d3d\"},\"headline\":\"Hispanos y las urnas: c\u00f3mo los latinos influyeron en las elecciones de 2014\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-04-09T20:01:29+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thelibreinstitute.org\\\/blog\\\/2014\\\/11\\\/hispanics-and-the-ballot-box-how-latinos-affected-the-2014-election\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":479,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thelibreinstitute.org\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thelibreinstitute.org\\\/blog\\\/2014\\\/11\\\/hispanics-and-the-ballot-box-how-latinos-affected-the-2014-election\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thelibreinstitute.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2014\\\/11\\\/vote-aqui.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"elecciones\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Prosperidad econ\u00f3mica\"],\"inLanguage\":\"es\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thelibreinstitute.org\\\/blog\\\/2014\\\/11\\\/hispanics-and-the-ballot-box-how-latinos-affected-the-2014-election\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thelibreinstitute.org\\\/blog\\\/2014\\\/11\\\/hispanics-and-the-ballot-box-how-latinos-affected-the-2014-election\\\/\",\"name\":\"Hispanos y las urnas: c\u00f3mo los latinos influyeron en las elecciones de 2014 - 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